Iván Payá
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Research

My research aims to understand economic phenomena both at the aggregate, or macro level, and at the individual, or micro level. On the macro side, I am currently working on the effectiveness of macroprudential policies, the role of housing markets on financial stability, and new tests to detect bubbles in asset prices. On the micro side, I am working on the effects of higher-order preferences on decision theory and portfolio choice.

I am a co-director of the UK Housing Observatory. The Observatory provides a comprehensive set of information and tools to perform real-time monitoring of UK real estate markets at the national and regional level.  
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I am also a co-director of the International Housing Observatory that, in collaboration with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas,  analyses real estate markets across the world.
The research and results generated within the Observatories have attracted the attention of the media such as The Financial Times, The Times, Wall Street Journal, The Independent, i News, Mail (Online), Mirror, Evening Standard, World Finance, Business Insider, Finance Monthly, What Mortgage, and Property Wire.

Working Papers
"Macroprudential Policy in the Euro Area" (with A. Fernandez-Gallardo), Lancaster University Economics Working Paper 2020/20.
"On the Predictions of Cumulative Prospect Theory for Third and Fourth Order Preferences," (with K. Georgalos and D. Peel), Lancaster University Department of Economics Working Paper 2020/005.
"House Prices, (Un)Affordability and Systemic Risk," (with E. Pavlidis and A. Skouralis), Lancaster University Department of Economics Working Paper 2019/010.


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